Regression & Linear Modeling

Jason W. Osborne is a thought leader and professor in higher education. His background in educational psychology, statistics and quantitative methods, along with that gleaned from high-level positions within Academia gives a unique perspective on the real-world data factors. In 2015, he was appointed Associate Provost and Dean of the Graduate School at Clemson University in Clemson, South Carolina. As well as Associate Provost, at Clemson University, Jason was a Professor of applied statistics at the School of Mathematical Sciences, with a secondary appointment in Public Health Science. In 2019, he took on the role of Provost and Executive VP for Academic Affairs at Miami University. As Provost, Jason implemented a transformative strategic plan to reposition the institution as one prepared for new challenges with a modern, compelling curriculum, a welcoming environment, and enhanced support for student faculty positions and staff. In 2021, he was named by Stanford University as one of the top 2% researchers in the world, underlining his commitment to world-class research methods across particular domains, ultimately influencing a generation of learners. Currently, Jason teaches and publishes on data analysis "best practices" in quantitative and applied research methods. He has served as evaluator or consultant on research projects and in public education (K-12), instructional technology, health care, medicine and business. He served as founding editor of Frontiers in Quantitative Psychology and Measurement and has been on the editorial boards of several other journals (such as Practical Assessment, Research, and Evaluation). Jason W Osborne also publishes on identification with academics and on issues related to social justice and diversity. He has written seven books covering topics to communicate logistic regression and linear modeling, exploratory factor analysis, best practices and modern research methods, data cleaning, and numerous other topics.

Chapter 1: A Nerdly Manifesto The Variables Lead the Way Different Classifications of Measurement It's All About Relationships! A Brief Review of Basic Algebra and Linear Equations The GLM in One Paragragh A Brief Consideration of Prediction A Brief Primer on Null Hypothesis Statistical Testing A Tale of Two Errors What Conclusions Can We Draw Based on NHST Results? So What Does Failure to Reject the Null Hypothesis Mean? Moving Beyond NHST The Importance of Replication and Generalizability Where We Go From Here Enrichment Chapter 2: Basic Estimation and Assumptions Estimation and the GLM What Is OLS Estimation? ML Estimation-A Gentle but Deeper Look Assumptions for OLS and ML Estimation Simple Univariate Data Cleaning and Data Transformations What If We Cannot Meet the Assumptions? Where We Go From Here Enrichment Chapter 3: Simple Linear Models With Continuous Dependent Variables: Simple Regression Analyses Advance Organizer It's All About Relationships! Basics of the Pearson Product-Moment Correlation Coefficient Calculating r Effect Sizes and r A Real Data Example The Basics of Simple Regression Basic Calculations for Simple Regression Standardized Versus Unstandardized Regression Coefficients Hypothesis Testing in Simple Regression A Real Data Example Does Centering or z-Scoring Make a Difference? Some Simple Multivariate Data Cleaning Summary Enrichment Chapter 4: Simple Linear Models With Continuous Dependent Variables: Simple ANOVA Analyses Advance Organizer It's All About Relationships! (Part 2) Analyzing These Data via t-Test Analyzing These Data via ANOVA ANOVA Within an OLS Regression Framework When Your IV Has More Than Two Groups: Dummy Coding Your Unordered Polytomous Variable Smoking and Diabetes Analyzed via ANOVA Smoking and Diabetes Analyzed via Regression What If the Dummy Variables Are Coded Differently? Unweighted Effects Coding Weighted Effects Coding Common Alternatives to Dummy or Effects Coding Summary Enrichment Chapter 5: Simple Linear Models With Categorical Dependent Variables: Binary Logistic Regression Advance Organizer It's All About Relationships! (Part 3) The Linear Probability Model How Logistic Regression Solves This Issue: The Logit Link Function A Brief Digression Into Probabilities, Conditional Probabilities, and Odds Simple Logistic Regression Using Statistical Software The Logistic Regression Equation Interpreting the Constant What If You Want CIs for the Constant? Summary So Far Logistic Regression With a Continuous IV Some Best Practices When Using a Continuous Variable in Logistic Regression Testing Assumptions and Data Cleaning in Logistic Regression Hosmer and Lemeshow Test for Model Fit Summary Enrichment Appendix 5A: A Brief Primer in Probit Regression Chapter 6: Simple Linear Models With Polytomous Categorical Dependent Variables: Multinomial and Ordinal Logistic Regression Advance Organizer Understanding Marijuana Use Dummy-Coded DVs and Our Hypotheses to Be Tested Basics and Calculations Multinomial Logistic Regression (Unordered) With Statistical Software Multinomial Logistic Regression With a Continuous Predictor Multinomial Logistic Regression as a Series of Binary Logistic Regressions Data Cleaning and Multinomial Logistic Regression Testing Whether Groups Can Be Combined Ordered Logit (Proportional Odds) Model Assumptions of the Ordinal Logistic Model Interpreting the Results of the Ordinal Regression Interpreting the Intercepts/Thresholds Interpreting the Parameter Estimates Data Cleaning and More Advanced Models in Ordinal Logistic Regression The Measured Variable is Continous, Why Not Just Use OLS Regression for This Type of Analysis? A Brief Note on Log-Linear Analyses Summary and Conclusions Enrichment Chapter 7: Simple Curvilinear Models Advance Organizer Zeno's Paradox, a Nerdy Science Joke, and Inherent Curvilinearity in the Universe... A Brief Review of Simple Algebra Hypotheses to Be Tested Illegitimate Causes of Curvilinearity Detection of Nonlinear Effects Basic Principles of Curvilinear Regression Curvilinear OLS Regression Example: Size of the University and Faculty Salary Data Cleaning Interpreting Curvilinear Effects Effectively Reality Testing This Effect Summary of Curvilinear Effects in OLS Regression Curvilinear Logistic Regression Example: Diabetes and Age Curvilinear Effects in Multinomial Logistic Regression Replication Becomes Important More Fun With Curves: Estimating Minima and Maxima as Well as Slope at Any Point on the Curve Summary Enrichment Chapter 8: Multiple Independent Variables Advance Organizer The Basics of Multiple Predictors What Are the Implications of This Act? Hypotheses to Be Tested in Multiple Regression Assumptions of Multiple Regression and Data Cleaning Predicting Student Achievement From Real Data Testing Assumptions and Data Cleaning in the NELS88 Data Methods of Entering Variables Using Multiple Regression for Theory Testing Logistic Regression With Multiple IVs Assessing the Overall Logistic Regression Model: Why There Is No R2 for Logistic Regression Summary and conclusions Exercises Chapter 9: Interactions Between Independent Variables: Simple moderation Advance Organizer What is an Interaction? Procedural and Conceptual Issues in Testing for Interactions Between Continuous Variables Procedural and Conceptual Issues in Testing for Interactions Containing Categorical Variables Hypotheses to Be Tested in Multiple Regression With Interactions Present An OLS Regression Example: Predicting Student Achievement From Real Data Interpreting the Results From a Significant Interaction Graphing Interaction Effects An Interaction Between a Continuous and a Categorical Variable in OLS Regression Interactions With Logistic Regression Example Summary of Interaction Analysis Interactions and Multinomial Logistic Regression Example Summary of Findings Can These Effects Replicate? Post Hoc Probing of Interactions Summary Enrichment Chapter 10: Curvilinear Interactions Between Independent Variables Advance Organizer What is a Curvilinear Interaction? A Quadratic Interaction Between X and Z A Cubic Interaction Between X and Z A Real-Data Example and Exploration of Procedural Details Curvilinear Interactions Between Continuous and Categorical Variables Curvilinear Interactions With Categorical DVs (Multinomial Logistic) Curvilinear Interaction Effects in Ordinal Regression Chapter Summary Enrichment Chapter 11: Poisson Models: Low-Frequency Count Data as Dependent Variables Advance Organizer The Basics and Assumptions of Poisson Regression Why Can't We Just Analyze Count Data via OLS, Multinomial, or Ordinal Regression? Hypotheses Tested in Poisson Regression Poisson Regression With Real Data Interactions in Poisson regression Data Cleaning in Poisson Regression Refining the Model by Eliminating Excess (Inappropriate) Zeros A Refined Analysis With Excess Zeros Removed Curvilinear Effects in Poisson Regression Dealing With Overdispersion or Underdispersion Negative Binomial Model Summary and Conclusions Enrichment Chapter 12: Log-Linear Models: General Linear Models When All of Your Variables Are Unordered Categorical Advance Organizer The Basics of Loglinear Analysis Hypotheses Being Tested Assumptions of Loglinear Models A Slightly More Complex Loglinear Model Can We Replicate These Results in Logistic Regression? Data Cleaning in Loglinear Models Summary and Conclusions Enrichment Chapter 13: A Brief Introduction to Hierarchical Linear Modeling Advance Organizer Why HLM models Are Necessary How Do Hierarchical Models Work? A Brief Primer Generalizing the Basic HLM Model Residuals in HLM Results of DROPOUT Analysis in HLM Summary and Conclusions Enrichment Chapter 14: Missing Data in Linear Modeling Advance Organizer Not All Missing Data Are the Same Categories of Missingness: Why Do We Care If Data Are MCAR or Not? How Do You Know If Your Data Are MCAR, MAR, or MNAR? What Do We Do With Randomly Missing Data? Data MCAR Data MNAR How Missingness Can Be an Interesting Variable in and of Itself Summing Up: Benefits of Appropriately Handling Missing Data Enrichment Chapter 15: Trustworthy Science: Improving Statistical Reporting Advance Organizer What Is Power, and Why Is It Important? Power in Linear Models Summary of Points Thus Far Who Cares as Long as p < .05? Volatility in Linear Models A Brief Introduction to Bootstrap Resampling Summary and Conclusions Enrichment Chapter 16: Reliable Measurement Matters Advance Organizer A More Modern View of Reliability What is Cronbach's Alpha (and What Is It Not)? Factors That Influence Alpha What Is "Good Enough" for Alpha? Reliability and Simple Correlation or Regression Reliability and Multiple IVs Reliability and Interactions in Multiple Regression Protecting Against Overcorrecting During Disattenuation Other (Better) Solutions to the Issue of Measurement Error Does Reliability Influence Other Analyses, Such as Analysis of Variance? Reliability in Logistic Models But Other Authors Have Argued That Poor Reliability Isn't That Important. Who Is Right? Sample Size and the Precision/Stability of Alpha-Empirical CIs Summary and Conclusions Chapter 17: Prediction in the Generalized Linear Model Advance Organizer Prediction vs. Explanation How is a Prediction Equation Created? Shrinkage and Evaluating the Quality of Prediction Equations An Example Using Real Data Improving on Prediction Models Calculating a Predicted Score, and CIs Around That Score Prediction (Prognostication) in Logistic Regression (and Other) Models An Example of External Validation of a Prognostic Equation Using Real Data External Validation of a Prediction Equation Using Bootstrap Analysis to Estimate a More Robust Prognostic Equation Summary Chapter 18: Modeling in Large, Complex Samples: The Importance of Using Appropriate Weights and Design Effect Compensation Advance Organizer What Types of Studies Use Complex Sampling? Why Does Complex Sampling Matter? What Are Best Practices in Accounting for Complex Sampling? Does It Really Make a Difference in the Results? Conditions Used Comparison of Unweighted Versus Weighted Analyses Summary Enrichment

"I really enjoyed reading this, which is rare to say about a statistics textbook. The style of writing is very approachable, and the material is presented in a way that is informative even to someone who thinks about these topics often." -- Cort W. Rudolph "The author has taught this subject matter for years. . . . He speaks to me as I face similar situations in the classroom. He writes in an accessible way for those who are not methodologists." -- Bruce McCollaum "The conversational language is a strength of the text. I can see it helping to put some otherwise anxious readers at ease. The author's sharing of their experience in data analysis is a nice touch, too. The manner in which the material is presented is not at all threatening or intimidating." -- Timothy W. Victor