The Future of Global Conflict

Introduction - Christopher Chase-Dunn and Volker Bornschier The Future of Hegemonic Rivalry in Perspective PART ONE: DIFFERENT PREDICTIONS FOR THE FUTURE From Leadership to Organization - George Modelski The Evolution of Global Politics The Next World War - Christopher Chase-Dunn and Bruce Podobnik World-System Cycles and Trends Beyond Cycles of Hegemony - Walter L Goldfrank Economic, Social and Military Factors Hegemonic Transition, West European Unification and the Future Structure of the Core - Volker Bornschier PART TWO: POST-WAR SHIFTS IN THE WORLD POLITICAL ECONOMY Global Cooperation or Rival Trade Blocs? - Gerd Junne Clashes of Life Spaces and Other Logics of Hegemonic Rivalry - Tieting Su Who Has the Most Fortune 500 Firms? A Network Analysis of Global Economic Competition, 1956-89 - Albert Bergesen and Roberto Fernandez Twenty-Fifty - John Borrego The Hegemonic Moment of Global Capitalism PART THREE: PROSPECTS FOR POTENTIAL FUTURE HEGEMONS Japan - A Hegemonic Power? Reflections on Economic Success and Possible Political Futures - Yasusada Yawata Germany, the United States and Future Intercore Conflict - Brigitte Schulz Future Hegemonic Rivalry between China and the West? - Erich Weede PART FOUR: LOOKING BACK AND AHEAD Hegemony and Bifurcation Points in World History - Terry Boswell Technological Change, Globalization and Hegemonic Rivalry - Volker Bornschier and Christopher Chase-Dunn