Preface 1. Needed: A Realistic Theory of Policy Change 2. Incrementalism and Worldview: The Virtues of Systemic Rationality The Two WorldviewsWorldviews and the Proper Role of GovernmentThe Rationalist Attitude toward PowerThe Anti-Rationalist Attitude toward PowerThe Superiority of the Congressional MajorityThe Virtues of Systemic Rationality 3. Incrementalism as Meliorative Liberalism Meliorative Liberalism versus Classical LiberalismA Typology of WorldviewsKarl Popper on Piecemeal Social ChangeThe Meliorative Liberalism of Charles LindblomThe Virtues of IncrementalismMaking Incrementalism Work Better 4. The Unequal Group StruggleThree Biases to the Group UniverseUnequal Resources and the Balance of ForcesCorporations as a Special Case: The Market as PrisonSources of Business PowerEffective InfluenceA Typology of Policy ProcessesInequality and Incrementalism 5. Dramaturgical IncrementalismMajority-Building IncrementalismAir Pollution Policy Prior to 1970The Public-Satisfying ModelThe Nuclear Freeze as a Test Case of Jones's ModelThe Nuclear Freeze as Dramaturgical IncrementalismThe Clean Air Case as Dramaturgical IncrementalismPublic Arousal and Policy Change 6. Health Care Reform Fails in 1993-94: A Barrier II NondecisionPresidential Leadership and the Need for Majority BuildingIssue Area Characteristics: An Anxious PublicIssue Area Characteristics: Multidimensional ComplexityInstitutions: Policy Communities and Policy DevelopmentDecision Making: The Necessity for Majority BuildingFinal Outcome as a Barrier II Nondecision Anatomy of a Nondecision 7. Welfare Reform, 1995-96: Self-Regulation as Calculated RiskThe Life Cycle of IssuesRationality within the Policy CommunityWelfare Reform as Calculated RiskConflictual Expectations and Welfare PolicyWho Bears the Risk? 8. Political Conflict and Policy Change The Case for IncrementalismThe Limited Vision of Meliorative LiberalismSystemic Rationality and the Interplay of WorldviewsImproving Incrementalism: Adaptive Conservative Reforms 9. Incrementalism under the Rule of LawIncrementalism and Institutional SclerosisThe Rule of Law DefinedThe Rule of Law and the PowerlessRestoring the Rule of Law Index