Kevin Erdmann was a small business owner for 17 years. In 2010, he sold his business and earned his master's degree in finance from the University of Arizona, which grounded his real-world experience of investing in the rigor of the academy. In 2013, he began blogging at idiosyncraticwhisk.com to share his contrarian observations about investment strategies and research. He was surprised to uncover evidence that seemed to contradict conventional narrative and common assumptions about the housing bubble and the financial crisis. As the evidence accumulated, he developed a new account of the causes of the housing bubble and financial crisis. That account eventually became a two-book project, Shut Out and a follow-up book still in development, both of which synthesize and expand on the housing theories he originally published on his blog. He lives in Gilbert, Arizona, with his wife and three children.
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Reviews
"Kevin Erdmann has put forward the radical thesis that restrictions on housing supply have been at the center of America's macroeconomic dilemmas, in addition to raising the cost of living for ordinary Americans. This is one of the few truly new ideas in the debate over the Great Recession. While I still am not sure how much I agree, I find myself thinking about Kevin's ideas often, and they grow on my mind. Kevin has poured his heart and soul into making the case in this fascinating new book." -- Tyler Cowen, author, "Stubborn Attachments," and blogger, "Marginal Revolution" "Do you believe that you know what happened during the housing bubble and bust? Think again. Kevin Erdmann has amassed a wealth of fascinating data that sheds new light on what actually went wrong with America's housing market. The basic problem was not too much building or too much lending to low-income people, but rather restrictive housing-development laws pushed people out of 'closed-access cities' on the two coasts and into the 'contagion cities' in Arizona, Nevada, and Florida that were the epicenter of the housing boom. This book sheds important new light on a number of issues beyond housing, including monetary policy, income inequality, and international investment flows." -- Scott Sumner, author, "The Midas Paradox," and blogger, "The Money Illusion" "Kevin Erdmann challenges the most well-known explanations for the housing crash. He argues that the bust, rather than the boom, is the truly exceptional story-a result of excessive restrictive credit policy, borne out a lack of understanding of what caused the boom. One needn't agree with his story in full to see that he scores extremely important points and adds a perspective that has been missing from discussions and public policy responses to the housing crash. Fixing supply constraints in rich areas, Erdmann shows, will not only make us richer by allowing people to move to areas where they can get higher wages; it will also make our economy sturdier and less prone to the type of disasters that set back the national and, indeed, the world economy in 2007-08." -- David Schleicher, Professor of Law, Yale Law School